{"id":4885,"date":"2024-01-30T00:25:46","date_gmt":"2024-01-30T07:25:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ceciyau.org\/?p=4885"},"modified":"2025-06-21T00:08:51","modified_gmt":"2025-06-21T07:08:51","slug":"in-war-is-there-a-winner","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ceciyau.org\/index.php\/conflict-and-reconciliation\/in-war-is-there-a-winner\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6230\u722d\uff0c\u6709\u8d0f\u5bb6\u55ce\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1 style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #1d0045;\">\u6230\u722d\uff0c\u6709\u8d0f\u5bb6\u55ce\uff1f<\/span><\/h1>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #1d0045;\">\u90b1\u6e05\u840d\u8457<br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"color: #1d0045;\">2024.1.30.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #1d0045;\">\u570b\u7834\u5c71\u6cb3\u5728\uff0c\u57ce\u6625\u8349\u6728\u6df1\u3002<br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"color: #1d0045;\">\u611f\u6642\u82b1\u6ffa\u6dda\uff0c\u6068\u5225\u9ce5\u9a5a\u5fc3<strong>\u3002<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/span><span style=\"color: #1d0045;\">\u70fd\u706b\u9023\u4e09\u6708\uff0c\u5bb6\u66f8\u62b5\u842c\u91d1\u3002<br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"color: #1d0045;\">\u767d\u982d\u6414\u66f4\u77ed\uff0c\u6e3e\u6b32\u4e0d\u52dd\u7c2a\u3002<br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"color: #1d0045;\">\uff08\u51fa\u81ea\u5510\u00b7\u675c\u752b\u300a\u6625\u671b\u300b\uff09<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #1d0045;\">\u6230\u722d\u662f\u570b\u5bb6\u5c07\u9818\u60f3\u6210\u5c31\u7684\u529f\u7e3e\uff0c\u537b\u662f\u5e73\u6c11\u767e\u59d3\u4e0d\u60f3\u6709\u7684\u5922\u9b58\u3002\u4eba\u5fc3\u56ae\u5f80\u592a\u5e73\uff0c\u53ef\u60dc\u5728\u4eba\u985e\u6b77\u53f2\u4e2d\uff0c\u771f\u6b63\u7121\u6230\u4e8b\u7684\u65e5\u5b50\u592a\u7a00\u5c11\u4e86\u3002\u8457\u540d\u6230\u5730\u8a18\u8005\u9ed1\u585e\u58eb\u00b7\u594e\u65af\uff08Chris Hedges\uff09\u5728\u4ed62003\u5e74\u51fa\u7248\u7684\u8457\u4f5c\u4e2d\u66fe\u6307\u51fa\uff1a\u5728\u904e\u5f803,400\u5e74\u53ef\u8003\u67e5\u7684\u6b77\u53f2\u88e1\uff0c\u53ea\u6709268\u5e74\uff0c\u53738% \u7684\u5e74\u65e5\u662f\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u592a\u5e73\uff08\u8a3b\u4e00\uff09\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #1d0045;\">\u5168\u7403\u73fe\u670932\u500b\u5f71\u97ff\u8f03\u5927\u7684\u6230\u722d\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4fc4\u70cf\u6230\u5f79\u3001\u4ee5\u54c8\u6230\u5f79\u53ca\u7dec\u7538\u5167\u6230\u7b49\uff08\u8a3b\u4e8c\uff09\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u4e5d\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\u64c1\u6709\u6838\u5b50\u6b66\u5668\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u4fc4\u570b\u6700\u591a\uff0c\u5176\u6b21\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\uff0c\u800c\u5169\u570b\u7684\u6838\u6b66\u4f54\u5168\u7403\u6838\u6b6690%\uff0c\u96d6\u7136\u5df2\u6bd4\u51b7\u6230\u6642\u671f\u5c11\u4e86\u5f88\u591a\uff0c\u4f46\u73fe\u4ee3\u7684\u6838\u6b66\u6bd4\u4ee5\u524d\u66f4\u5f37\u800c\u6709\u529b\uff0c\u6bba\u50b7\u529b\u4e5f\u66f4\u5927 (\u8a3b\u4e09)\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #1d0045;\">\u806f\u5408\u570b\u8b66\u544a\u8aaa\uff1a\u81ea\u4e8c\u6b21\u4e16\u754c\u5927\u6230\u5f8c\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u548c\u5e73\u53d7\u5a01\u8105\uff0c\u73fe\u4eca\u6bd4\u4efb\u4f55\u6642\u5019\u66f4\u56b4\u5cfb\u3002\u6700\u8fd1\uff08\u4e00\u6708\u5eff\u4e09\u65e5\uff09\u300c\u672b\u65e5\u9418\u300d\uff08Doomsday Clock\uff09(\u8a3b\u56db) \u7684\u6307\u91dd\u986f\u793a<\/span><span style=\"color: #1d0045;\">\u80fd\u6bc0\u6ec5\u5730\u7403\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u6027\u707d\u96e3\u5df2\u903c\u8fd1\u5348\u591c\uff08\u5341\u4e8c\u9ede\uff09\u524d90\u79d2\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u672b\u65e5\u941877\u5e74\u904b\u4f5c\u7684\u6b77\u53f2\u4e2d\u6700\u63a5\u8fd1\u5348\u591c\u7684\u6642\u523b\u3002\u5371\u6a5f\u610f\u8b58\u4e3b\u8981\u4f86\u81ea\u4fc4\u70cf\u6230\u4e8b\uff0c\u666e\u4e01\u6578\u5ea6\u4ee5\u767c\u52d5\u6838\u6b66\u4f5c\u70ba\u5a01\u8105\uff1b\u52a0\u4e0a\u4ee5\u54c8\u6230\u722d\uff0c\u53ca\u4e09\u5927\u5f37\u570b\u64f4\u5145\u6838\u6b66\u53ca\u73fe\u4ee3\u5316\u7684\u767c\u5c55\uff0c\u5f15\u81f4\u5176\u4ed6\u570b\u5bb6\u4ea6\u6b65\u4ea6\u8da8\u3002\u672b\u65e5\u9418\u8d77\u521d\u53ea\u95dc\u6ce8\u6838\u6b66\u5c0d\u4eba\u985e\u7684\u5a01\u8105\uff0c\u8fd1\u5e74\u4e5f\u5305\u62ec\u4e86\u6c23\u5019\u8b8a\u5316\u3001\u751f\u7269\u6230\u3001\u65b0\u79d1\u6280\u5982\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u88ab\u8aa4\u7528\u7684\u5371\u6a5f\u7b49\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #1d0045;\">\u672b\u65e5\u9418\u4e26\u975e\u8861\u91cf\u5730\u7403\u5371\u6a5f\u7684\u7cbe\u6e96\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u4f5c\u7528\u662f\u559a\u9192\u5404\u570b\u9818\u8896\u5728\u653f\u6cbb\u5916\u4ea4\u6c7a\u7b56\u4e0a\u4fdd\u6301\u5171\u540c\u9ad4\u7684\u610f\u8b58\uff0c\u8003\u91cf\u5168\u7403\u7684\u5b89\u5168\uff0c\u4e5f\u63d0\u9192\u5927\u773e\u5404\u76e1\u6240\u80fd\uff0c\u7559\u610f\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u4fdd\u8b77\u751f\u614b\u74b0\u5883\u7684\u5e73\u8861\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #1d0045;\"><u>\u6230\u722d\u7684\u7834\u58de\u6027\u53ca\u4ee3\u50f9<\/u>\uff08\u8a3b\u4e94\uff09<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #1d0045;\">\u55ae\u57282022\u5e74\uff0c\u56e0\u6230\u722d\u800c\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7684\u4eba\u6578\u5dee\u4e0d\u591a\u9ad8\u9054\u5eff\u4e94\u842c\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u56db\u4efd\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\uff08\u5eff\u5104\uff09\u4f4f\u5728\u6230\u5340\uff0c\u8f03\u56b4\u91cd\u7684\u5982\u5357\u8607\u4e39\u3001\u8863\u7d22\u6bd4\u4e9e\u3001\u53d9\u5229\u4e9e\u3001\u4e5f\u9580\u548c\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u7b49\u570b\u5bb6\u3002\u53e6\u6709\u516b\u5343\u56db\u767e\u842c\u4eba\u6210\u70ba\u6230\u722d\u96e3\u6c11\uff0c\u5fc5\u9808\u96e2\u958b\u5bb6\u9109\uff0c\u51fa\u570b\u6216\u570b\u5167\u9077\u79fb\uff0c\u6975\u9700\u6551\u6fdf\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u53d9\u5229\u4e9e\u5c31\u6709\u4e00\u5343\u56db\u767e\u842c\u96e3\u6c11\uff0c\u70ba\u6578\u6700\u591a\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #1d0045;\">\u6230\u722d\u7684\u4ee3\u50f9\u96e3\u4ee5\u60f3\u50cf\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u4eba\u6c11\u8eab\u5fc3\u53d7\u50b7\u5bb3\u4ee5\u5916\uff0c\u793e\u6703\u52d5\u4e82\u3001\u570b\u5bb6\u57fa\u790e\u8a2d\u65bd\u53d7\u7834\u58de\uff0c\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u856d\u689d\u66f4\u4e0d\u5728\u8a71\u4e0b\u3002\u5c08\u5bb6\u4f30\u8a08\u73fe\u4eca\u5341\u500b\u6230\u4e82\u6700\u56b4\u91cd\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u5e73\u5747GDP\u53d7\u8667\u640d41%\u3002\u539f\u4f86\u5373\u4f7f\u6230\u722d\u5df2\u505c\u6b62\uff0c\u5f8c\u907a\u75c7\u4ecd\u7136\u7e7c\u7e8c\uff0c\u53d7\u6b83\u53ca\u7684\u6bcf\u500b\u4eba\u90fd\u6bd4\u6230\u722d\u524d\u66f4\u8ca7\u7aae\u3002\u57282016\u5e74\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u6230\u4e82\u885d\u7a81\u6240\u9700\u8981\u7684\u4eba\u9053\u6551\u63f4\u4f54\u5168\u90e8\u63f4\u52a9\u8cc7\u6e90\u768480%\uff0c\u7d0414\u842c\u5104\u4e4b\u9245\uff0c\u4ee4\u4eba\u548b\u820c\uff0c\u9019\u7b46\u5de8\u984d\u662f\u89e3\u6c7a\u4e16\u754c\u98e2\u9913\u6240\u9700\u6b35\u9805\u768442\u500d\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #1d0045;\">\u5a66\u5973\u8207\u5152\u7ae5\u662f\u6230\u722d\u53d7\u5bb3\u6700\u6df1\uff0c\u53c8\u6700\u88ab\u5ffd\u7565\u7684\u53d7\u5bb3\u8005\u3002\u6230\u5730\u8a18\u8005\u6797\u4f73\u5a77\uff08Christine Lamb\uff09\u5728\u5979\u7684\u66f8\u300a\u6211\u5011\u7684\u8eab\u9ad4\u3001\u4ed6\u5011\u7684\u6230\u5834\u300b\uff08<em>Our Bodies, Their Battlefields<\/em>\uff09\u6307\u51fa\u653f\u6cbb\u8207\u8ecd\u968a\u9818\u8896\u5e38\u6f20\u8996\u8ecd\u5175\u5f37\u59e6\u7684\u7f6a\u884c\uff0c\u800c\u570b\u969b\u6cd5\u5ead\u4e5f\u4e0d\u4ee5\u6b64\u4f5c\u70ba\u300c\u5371\u5bb3\u4eba\u985e\u7684\u7f6a\u884c\u300d\u800c\u7e69\u4e4b\u4ee5\u6cd5\u3002\u5a66\u5973\u8207\u5973\u5b69\u5e38\u88ab\u7576\u4f5c\u6230\u722d\u7684\u6b66\u5668\u6216\u6230\u5229\u54c1\uff0c\u800c\u88ab\u8650\u5f85\u548c\u5f37\u59e6\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u8ca9\u8ce3\u5546\u66f4\u4e58\u865b\u800c\u5165\uff0c\u53ef\u6190\u5a66\u5b7a\u88ab\u62d0\u8ce3\uff0c\u903c\u5a5a\u7684\u4e8b\u4e5f\u5e38\u767c\u751f\u3002\u56e0\u6230\u722d\u800c\u6d41\u5f99\u7684\u96e3\u6c11\u6709\u4e00\u534a\u4ee5\u4e0a\u662f\u5a66\u5973\u8207\u5152\u7ae5\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u9700\u8981\u548c\u885b\u751f\u5f97\u4e0d\u5230\u7167\u9867\uff0c\u5b55\u5a66\u5f97\u4e0d\u5230\u91ab\u7642\u63f4\u52a9\u3002\u806f\u5408\u570b\u5831\u5c0e\u4e94\u500b\u5a66\u5973\u96e3\u6c11\u5c31\u6709\u4e00\u500b\u53d7\u6027\u66b4\u529b\u7684\u50b7\u5bb3\uff0c\u6230\u722d\u4e5f\u525d\u596a\u5152\u7ae5\u53d7\u6559\u80b2\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\uff0c\u4f7f\u4ed6\u5011\u5728\u6210\u9577\u671f\u98fd\u53d7\u5275\u50b7\uff0c\u66f4\u96e3\u812b\u96e2\u8ca7\u56f0\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #1d0045;\">\u64da\u806f\u5408\u570b\u5831\u5c0e\uff0c\u4e5f\u9580\u4e5d\u5e74\u5167\u6230\uff0c\u6b7b\u4e86\u5345\u591a\u842c\u4eba\uff0c\u56db\u5206\u4e4b\u4e09\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u9700\u8981\u6551\u63f4\uff0c\u5f88\u591a\u90fd\u5728\u98e2\u9913\u7684\u908a\u7de3\uff0c\u4e94\u6b72\u4ee5\u4e0b\u7684\u5152\u7ae5\u6709\u4e8c\u767e\u591a\u842c\u9677\u5165\u6975\u5ea6\u98e2\u8352\uff0c\u6bcf\u5341\u5206\u9418\u5c31\u6709\u4e00\u500b\u5b69\u5b50\u6b7b\u4ea1\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #1d0045;\"><u>\u4e0d\u8981\u6230\u722d\u8981\u548c\u5e73<\/u><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #1d0045;\">\u6230\u722d\u4e0d\u80fd\u89e3\u6c7a\u885d\u7a81\uff0c\u540d\u4f5c\u5bb6\u5a01\u723e\u65af\uff08H.G. 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What Every Person Should Know About War. New<\/span><span style=\"color: #1d0045;\">\u00a0York, Free Press.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #1d0045;\">(\u8a3b\u4e8c\uff09\u300a\u8ffd\u8e64\u5168\u7403\u722d\u7aef\u300b(Global Conflict Tracker) <\/span><span style=\"color: #1d0045;\">https:\/\/www.cfr.org\/global-conflict-tracker \uff09\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u6b63\u5728\u767c\u751f\u7684<\/span><span style=\"color: #1d0045;\">\u6230\u4e8b\u80cc\u666f\u8207\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u300c\u5c0d\u5916\u95dc\u4fc2\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u300d\u6240\u8a2d\u7acb\uff0c\u70ba\u4e86\u5e6b\u52a9\u653f<\/span><span style=\"color: #1d0045;\">\u5e9c\u91d0\u5b9a\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u9632\u6b62\u53ca\u7de9\u548c\u8ecd\u4e8b\u5f35\u529b\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #1d0045;\">(\u8a3b\u4e09) \u00a0ICAN-The International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #1d0045;\">(\u8a3b\u56db)\u00a0 Bulletin of the Atomic Scientist-<br \/>\n<a style=\"color: #1d0045;\" href=\"https:\/\/thebulletin.org\/doomsday-clock\/faq\/\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">h<\/span>ttps:\/\/thebulletin.org\/doomsday<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">&#8211;<\/span><\/a><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">clock<\/span><a style=\"color: #1d0045;\" href=\"https:\/\/thebulletin.org\/doomsday-clock\/faq\/\">\/faq\/<\/a>) \u81ea\u6838\u7206\u65e5\u672c\u5ee3\u5cf6\u8207\u9577\u5d0e\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u4e00\u7fa4\u79d1\u5b78\u5bb6\u5305\u62ec\u5967\u672c\u6d77\u9ed8\u65bc1945\u5e74\u5275\u8fa6\u4e86\u300a\u539f\u5b50\u79d1\u5b78\u5bb6\u516c<\/span><span style=\"color: #1d0045;\">\u5831\u300b\uff0c\u65e8\u5728\u6559\u80b2\u5927\u773e\u6709\u95dc\u6838\u6b66\u7684\u5371\u96aa\u6027\u8207\u7834\u58de\u6027\u3002\u5169\u5e74\u5f8c\u4ed6\u5011\u5275\u7acb<\/span><span style=\"color: #1d0045;\">\u300c\u672b\u65e5\u9418\u300d\uff0c\u4ee5\u5348\u591c\u5341\u4e8c\u6642\u8c61\u5fb5\u4e16\u754c\u672b\u65e5\uff0c\u53c8\u6839\u64da\u6838\u6b66\u7206\u70b8\u5c0d\u4eba\u985e\u53ca\u5730\u7403\u7684\u5a01\u8105\u6027\u4f86\u5012\u6578\u8a08\u6642\uff0c\u767c\u51fa\u8b66\u544a\u8a0a\u865f\uff0c\u52a9\u4e16\u4eba\u63d0\u9ad8\u8b66\u89ba\uff0c\u4f5c\u51fa\u500b\u4eba\u53ca\u6574\u9ad4\u514b\u5236\u7684\u884c\u52d5\u3002\u6bcf\u5e74\u7531\u8a72\u6a5f\u69cb\u8207\u4e00\u4e9b\u5f97\u8afe\u8c9d\u723e\u734e\u7684\u79d1\u5b78\u5bb6\u4e00\u540c\u6c7a\u5b9a\u672b\u65e5\u9418\u6307\u91dd\u8a72\u653e\u7684\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #1d0045;\">(\u8a3b\u4e94)\u00a0 Lowery, Tess. \u201d13 Heartbreaking Facts About Ongoing Conflicts Around the<\/span><span style=\"color: #1d0045;\">\u00a0World. <u>Global Citizen, \u00a0<\/u>April 1, 2022.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #1d0045;\">(\u8a3b\u516d)\u00a0 Sider, Ronald J. &amp; Taylor, Richard K. 1982. Nuclear Holocaust &amp; Christian <\/span><span style=\"color: #1d0045;\">Hope\u2014A Book for Christian Peacemakers Downer\u2019s Grove, Ill.: <\/span><span style=\"color: #1d0045;\">InterVarsity, p.120.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u6230\u722d\uff0c\u6709\u8d0f\u5bb6\u55ce\uff1f \u90b1\u6e05\u840d\u8457 2024.1 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":4886,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"h5ap_radio_sources":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[26],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4885","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-conflict-and-reconciliation"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/ceciyau.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/WhatsApp-Image-2024-01-31-at-4.06.24-PM-1-e1710295081655.jpeg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ceciyau.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4885","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ceciyau.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ceciyau.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ceciyau.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ceciyau.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4885"}],"version-history":[{"count":15,"href":"https:\/\/ceciyau.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4885\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4925,"href":"https:\/\/ceciyau.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4885\/revisions\/4925"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ceciyau.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4886"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ceciyau.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4885"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ceciyau.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4885"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ceciyau.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4885"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}